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Storm Prediction Center
Updated: 6 years 42 weeks ago

SPC - No watches are valid as of Wed Feb 2 23:38:01 UTC 2011

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 17:37
No watches are valid as of Wed Feb 2 23:38:01 UTC 2011.

SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Wed Feb 2 23:38:01 UTC 2011

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 17:37
No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Wed Feb 2 23:38:01 UTC 2011.

SPC Feb 2, 2011 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 13:34
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0131 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...ALONG WITH STABILIZING AIRMASS...HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...NWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. OTHER MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011/ ...SYNOPSIS... INTENSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES TODAY AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. PIT 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 950-400 MB LAYER...WHICH WAS FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS MORNING. WHILE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS STEEP FURTHER NEWD...STRONG FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. FURTHER SOUTH...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN FL WHERE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN FL PENINSULA. COMBINATION OF MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND WEAK TO NEUTRAL FORCING SUGGESTS ONLY A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDER PRIOR TO FROPA. Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 13:34
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0131 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...ALONG WITH STABILIZING AIRMASS...HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...NWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. OTHER MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011/ ...SYNOPSIS... INTENSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES TODAY AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. PIT 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 950-400 MB LAYER...WHICH WAS FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS MORNING. WHILE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS STEEP FURTHER NEWD...STRONG FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. FURTHER SOUTH...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN FL WHERE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN FL PENINSULA. COMBINATION OF MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND WEAK TO NEUTRAL FORCING SUGGESTS ONLY A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDER PRIOR TO FROPA. Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 13:34
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0131 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...ALONG WITH STABILIZING AIRMASS...HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...NWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. OTHER MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011/ ...SYNOPSIS... INTENSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES TODAY AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. PIT 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 950-400 MB LAYER...WHICH WAS FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS MORNING. WHILE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS STEEP FURTHER NEWD...STRONG FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. FURTHER SOUTH...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN FL WHERE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN FL PENINSULA. COMBINATION OF MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND WEAK TO NEUTRAL FORCING SUGGESTS ONLY A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDER PRIOR TO FROPA. Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 13:34
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0131 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...ALONG WITH STABILIZING AIRMASS...HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...NWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. OTHER MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011/ ...SYNOPSIS... INTENSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES TODAY AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. PIT 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 950-400 MB LAYER...WHICH WAS FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS MORNING. WHILE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS STEEP FURTHER NEWD...STRONG FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. FURTHER SOUTH...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN FL WHERE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN FL PENINSULA. COMBINATION OF MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND WEAK TO NEUTRAL FORCING SUGGESTS ONLY A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDER PRIOR TO FROPA. Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 13:34
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0131 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...ALONG WITH STABILIZING AIRMASS...HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...NWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. OTHER MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011/ ...SYNOPSIS... INTENSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES TODAY AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. PIT 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 950-400 MB LAYER...WHICH WAS FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS MORNING. WHILE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS STEEP FURTHER NEWD...STRONG FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. FURTHER SOUTH...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN FL WHERE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN FL PENINSULA. COMBINATION OF MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND WEAK TO NEUTRAL FORCING SUGGESTS ONLY A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDER PRIOR TO FROPA. Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 13:34
SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0131 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 022000Z - 031200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS...ALONG WITH STABILIZING AIRMASS...HAVE DECIDED TO REMOVE THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST...NWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. OTHER MINOR CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHTNING ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE FOR LATE IN THE PERIOD. WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INCREASE LATE IN THE PERIOD AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS...MOST LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1018 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011/ ...SYNOPSIS... INTENSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE NEWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES TODAY AND OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST THIS EVENING. PIT 12Z SOUNDING SHOWED RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 950-400 MB LAYER...WHICH WAS FAVORABLE FOR LIGHTNING EARLIER THIS MORNING. WHILE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT AS STEEP FURTHER NEWD...STRONG FORCING SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. FURTHER SOUTH...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE MID/SRN ATLANTIC COAST STATES THIS AFTERNOON...EXCEPT IN FL WHERE IT WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN FL PENINSULA. COMBINATION OF MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES AND WEAK TO NEUTRAL FORCING SUGGESTS ONLY A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDER PRIOR TO FROPA. Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 12:37
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z WITH A MIDLEVEL HIGH POSITIONED OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...AN OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL BE FAVORED OVER SRN CA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX SEWD INTO S-CNTRL TX ON SATURDAY/D4 AND SUNDAY/D5 AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEYOND SUNDAY...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE...RESULTING IN LOW FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. ..GARNER.. 02/02/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 12:37
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z WITH A MIDLEVEL HIGH POSITIONED OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...AN OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL BE FAVORED OVER SRN CA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX SEWD INTO S-CNTRL TX ON SATURDAY/D4 AND SUNDAY/D5 AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEYOND SUNDAY...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE...RESULTING IN LOW FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. ..GARNER.. 02/02/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 12:37
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z WITH A MIDLEVEL HIGH POSITIONED OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...AN OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL BE FAVORED OVER SRN CA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX SEWD INTO S-CNTRL TX ON SATURDAY/D4 AND SUNDAY/D5 AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEYOND SUNDAY...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE...RESULTING IN LOW FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. ..GARNER.. 02/02/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 12:37
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z WITH A MIDLEVEL HIGH POSITIONED OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...AN OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL BE FAVORED OVER SRN CA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX SEWD INTO S-CNTRL TX ON SATURDAY/D4 AND SUNDAY/D5 AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEYOND SUNDAY...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE...RESULTING IN LOW FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. ..GARNER.. 02/02/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 12:37
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z WITH A MIDLEVEL HIGH POSITIONED OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...AN OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL BE FAVORED OVER SRN CA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX SEWD INTO S-CNTRL TX ON SATURDAY/D4 AND SUNDAY/D5 AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEYOND SUNDAY...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE...RESULTING IN LOW FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. ..GARNER.. 02/02/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 12:37
SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 041200Z - 101200Z WITH A MIDLEVEL HIGH POSITIONED OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND TROUGHING ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN CONUS...AN OFFSHORE FLOW REGIME WILL BE FAVORED OVER SRN CA THROUGH AT LEAST THE WEEKEND. ELSEWHERE...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER SWRN TX SEWD INTO S-CNTRL TX ON SATURDAY/D4 AND SUNDAY/D5 AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BEYOND SUNDAY...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE...RESULTING IN LOW FORECAST PREDICTABILITY. ..GARNER.. 02/02/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 11:16
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CNTRL GULF COAST TO SRN GA... WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES BEGINS TO EJECT EWD INTO TX. THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE DRAPED WELL OFFSHORE...EXTENDING ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA. LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 700MB...WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR...WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 11:16
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CNTRL GULF COAST TO SRN GA... WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES BEGINS TO EJECT EWD INTO TX. THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE DRAPED WELL OFFSHORE...EXTENDING ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA. LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 700MB...WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR...WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 11:16
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CNTRL GULF COAST TO SRN GA... WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES BEGINS TO EJECT EWD INTO TX. THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE DRAPED WELL OFFSHORE...EXTENDING ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA. LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 700MB...WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR...WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 11:16
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CNTRL GULF COAST TO SRN GA... WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES BEGINS TO EJECT EWD INTO TX. THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE DRAPED WELL OFFSHORE...EXTENDING ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA. LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 700MB...WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR...WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 11:16
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CNTRL GULF COAST TO SRN GA... WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES BEGINS TO EJECT EWD INTO TX. THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE DRAPED WELL OFFSHORE...EXTENDING ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA. LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 700MB...WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR...WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 2, 2011 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook

Wed, 02/02/2011 - 11:16
SPC 1730Z Day 2 Outlook
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1115 AM CST WED FEB 02 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...CNTRL GULF COAST TO SRN GA... WARM ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY2 PERIOD AS UPPER LOW OVER THE SRN ROCKIES BEGINS TO EJECT EWD INTO TX. THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE DRAPED WELL OFFSHORE...EXTENDING ACROSS THE NRN FL PENINSULA. LATEST SHORT RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 700MB...WITHIN THE WARM CONVEYOR...WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE FOR UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AT LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING. ..DARROW.. 02/02/2011 Read more
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