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Updated: 6 years 24 weeks ago

SPC Feb 3, 2011 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 06:17
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0614 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031300Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES...WITH COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT FL. A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA...AND IS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THIS THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN AN EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE GULF COAST STATES. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /CENTERED AROUND 600MB/ WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST LA. THIS AREA MAY SEE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE MOST ORGANIZED SHOWERS TONIGHT. ..HART/GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 06:17
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0614 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031300Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES...WITH COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT FL. A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA...AND IS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THIS THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN AN EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE GULF COAST STATES. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /CENTERED AROUND 600MB/ WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST LA. THIS AREA MAY SEE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE MOST ORGANIZED SHOWERS TONIGHT. ..HART/GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 06:17
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0614 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031300Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES...WITH COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT FL. A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA...AND IS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THIS THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN AN EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE GULF COAST STATES. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /CENTERED AROUND 600MB/ WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST LA. THIS AREA MAY SEE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE MOST ORGANIZED SHOWERS TONIGHT. ..HART/GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 06:17
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0614 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031300Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES...WITH COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT FL. A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA...AND IS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THIS THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN AN EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE GULF COAST STATES. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /CENTERED AROUND 600MB/ WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST LA. THIS AREA MAY SEE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE MOST ORGANIZED SHOWERS TONIGHT. ..HART/GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 06:17
SPC 1300Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0614 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031300Z - 041200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... AN EXPANSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS IN PLACE THIS MORNING OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED STATES...WITH COLD AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE BUT FL. A SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA...AND IS PROVIDING A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODELS SUGGEST THIS THREAT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. FARTHER WEST...INCREASING LARGE SCALE FORCING AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN AN EXPANDING AREA OF PRECIPITATION THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE GULF COAST STATES. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS VERY WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /CENTERED AROUND 600MB/ WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHEAST TX/SOUTHWEST LA. THIS AREA MAY SEE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THE MOST ORGANIZED SHOWERS TONIGHT. ..HART/GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:56
Day 4-8 Outlook
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 061200Z - 111200Z THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES. THE MODELS MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD INTO THE MS VALLEY ON MONDAY/DAY 5. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON MONDAY OVER THE FL PENINSULA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE ERN STATES ON TUESDAY/DAY 6 AS A DRY AIRMASS COVERS MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE BEYOND TUESDAY WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE ERN STATES AND THE ECMWF MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH THE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...NWLY FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DOMINATE THE WRN AND CNTRL STATES HELPING TO KEEP DRY AIR IN PLACE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE CONUS LATE IN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:56
Day 4-8 Outlook
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 061200Z - 111200Z THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES. THE MODELS MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD INTO THE MS VALLEY ON MONDAY/DAY 5. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON MONDAY OVER THE FL PENINSULA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE ERN STATES ON TUESDAY/DAY 6 AS A DRY AIRMASS COVERS MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE BEYOND TUESDAY WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE ERN STATES AND THE ECMWF MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH THE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...NWLY FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DOMINATE THE WRN AND CNTRL STATES HELPING TO KEEP DRY AIR IN PLACE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE CONUS LATE IN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:56
Day 4-8 Outlook
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 061200Z - 111200Z THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES. THE MODELS MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD INTO THE MS VALLEY ON MONDAY/DAY 5. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON MONDAY OVER THE FL PENINSULA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE ERN STATES ON TUESDAY/DAY 6 AS A DRY AIRMASS COVERS MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE BEYOND TUESDAY WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE ERN STATES AND THE ECMWF MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH THE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...NWLY FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DOMINATE THE WRN AND CNTRL STATES HELPING TO KEEP DRY AIR IN PLACE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE CONUS LATE IN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:56
Day 4-8 Outlook
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 061200Z - 111200Z THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES. THE MODELS MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD INTO THE MS VALLEY ON MONDAY/DAY 5. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON MONDAY OVER THE FL PENINSULA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE ERN STATES ON TUESDAY/DAY 6 AS A DRY AIRMASS COVERS MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE BEYOND TUESDAY WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE ERN STATES AND THE ECMWF MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH THE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...NWLY FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DOMINATE THE WRN AND CNTRL STATES HELPING TO KEEP DRY AIR IN PLACE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE CONUS LATE IN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. Read more

SPC Feb 3, 2011 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:56
Day 4-8 Outlook
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0355 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 061200Z - 111200Z THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES. THE MODELS MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD INTO THE MS VALLEY ON MONDAY/DAY 5. SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE WELL AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM ON MONDAY OVER THE FL PENINSULA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. THE MODELS MOVE THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH INTO THE ERN STATES ON TUESDAY/DAY 6 AS A DRY AIRMASS COVERS MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN CONUS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE BEYOND TUESDAY WITH THE GFS DEVELOPING AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE ERN STATES AND THE ECMWF MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH THE SYSTEM. EITHER WAY...NWLY FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM SHOULD DOMINATE THE WRN AND CNTRL STATES HELPING TO KEEP DRY AIR IN PLACE. THIS SHOULD LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE CONUS LATE IN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0335 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRI AS A MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MASS REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MOST OF THE SRN CONUS. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WITH LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES APPEARS LOW. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0335 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRI AS A MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MASS REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MOST OF THE SRN CONUS. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WITH LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES APPEARS LOW. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0335 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRI AS A MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MASS REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MOST OF THE SRN CONUS. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WITH LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES APPEARS LOW. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0335 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRI AS A MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MASS REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MOST OF THE SRN CONUS. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WITH LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES APPEARS LOW. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0335 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... QUIESCENT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON FRI AS A MODIFIED ARCTIC AIR MASS REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS MOST OF THE SRN CONUS. THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WINDS WITH LOW RH AND WARM TEMPERATURES APPEARS LOW. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0231 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO WILL ACCELERATE EWD...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS EARLY FRI. AN EXPANSIVE AXIS OF SURFACE RIDGING WILL BECOME ANCHORED FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN CA COASTAL MTNS... SUSTAINED OFFSHORE WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH PERSISTED IN FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES...PRIMARILY ALONG THE PENINSULAR RANGES. DESPITE COLD TEMPERATURES /MOSTLY IN THE 30S AND 40S/...RH VALUES FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT WERE COMMON. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO SHIFTS EWD AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES THROUGH THE MORNING...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AOA 20 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED BY AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS /PER LATEST OSCC FIRE POTENTIAL DISCUSSION/...A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0231 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO WILL ACCELERATE EWD...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS EARLY FRI. AN EXPANSIVE AXIS OF SURFACE RIDGING WILL BECOME ANCHORED FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN CA COASTAL MTNS... SUSTAINED OFFSHORE WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH PERSISTED IN FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES...PRIMARILY ALONG THE PENINSULAR RANGES. DESPITE COLD TEMPERATURES /MOSTLY IN THE 30S AND 40S/...RH VALUES FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT WERE COMMON. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO SHIFTS EWD AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES THROUGH THE MORNING...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AOA 20 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED BY AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS /PER LATEST OSCC FIRE POTENTIAL DISCUSSION/...A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0231 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO WILL ACCELERATE EWD...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS EARLY FRI. AN EXPANSIVE AXIS OF SURFACE RIDGING WILL BECOME ANCHORED FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN CA COASTAL MTNS... SUSTAINED OFFSHORE WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH PERSISTED IN FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES...PRIMARILY ALONG THE PENINSULAR RANGES. DESPITE COLD TEMPERATURES /MOSTLY IN THE 30S AND 40S/...RH VALUES FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT WERE COMMON. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO SHIFTS EWD AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES THROUGH THE MORNING...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AOA 20 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED BY AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS /PER LATEST OSCC FIRE POTENTIAL DISCUSSION/...A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0231 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO WILL ACCELERATE EWD...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS EARLY FRI. AN EXPANSIVE AXIS OF SURFACE RIDGING WILL BECOME ANCHORED FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN CA COASTAL MTNS... SUSTAINED OFFSHORE WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH PERSISTED IN FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES...PRIMARILY ALONG THE PENINSULAR RANGES. DESPITE COLD TEMPERATURES /MOSTLY IN THE 30S AND 40S/...RH VALUES FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT WERE COMMON. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO SHIFTS EWD AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES THROUGH THE MORNING...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AOA 20 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED BY AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS /PER LATEST OSCC FIRE POTENTIAL DISCUSSION/...A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Thu, 02/03/2011 - 03:37
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0231 AM CST THU FEB 03 2011 VALID 031200Z - 041200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...SYNOPSIS... AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO WILL ACCELERATE EWD...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS EARLY FRI. AN EXPANSIVE AXIS OF SURFACE RIDGING WILL BECOME ANCHORED FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TOWARDS THE OH VALLEY. ...PORTIONS OF THE SRN CA COASTAL MTNS... SUSTAINED OFFSHORE WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH PERSISTED IN FAVORED CANYONS/PASSES...PRIMARILY ALONG THE PENINSULAR RANGES. DESPITE COLD TEMPERATURES /MOSTLY IN THE 30S AND 40S/...RH VALUES FROM 10 TO 20 PERCENT WERE COMMON. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST/NWRN MEXICO SHIFTS EWD AND THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES THROUGH THE MORNING...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN. SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS AOA 20 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ISOLATED BY AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH GENERALLY UNFAVORABLE FUEL CONDITIONS /PER LATEST OSCC FIRE POTENTIAL DISCUSSION/...A CRITICAL THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED. ..GRAMS.. 02/03/2011 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... Read more
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